Coming on the heels of the “stolen election” that still looms large over America’s political landscape and the contentious fight for control over the U.S. Senate, the 2003 political campaigns are going to be viciously fought out until the very end.
Many of the dead-heat races are here in Missouri. The 24th State Senate district, which includes Washington University, might be “the most 50-50 Republican/Democrat district” around, according to John Combest, a WU political science major who graduated in 2000 and now advises Republicans in the district.
On the other hand, WU is now also in the district of Richard Gephardt, a well-known Missourian who is looking to become the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Gephardt is considered a shoe-in by some political analysts, but two informed observers said they are certain he is also planning to run for president. If so, he will aim for a sound thrashing of his opponent to give him momentum for 2004.
As was the case when Missouri was a pivotal “swing-state” in the 2000 presidential election, campaign managers are once again looking to student voters and volunteers to mobilize the 18-25 year-old vote, which could tip the balance in favor of either party.
Recent campaign participation at WU reached fever pitch in 2000, when Missouri hosted three tight races – for the Governor’s and Senate seats and for the US Presidency. College Democrats in particular, but also College Republicans and non-partisan campus groups (such as Students for Life) organized dozens of volunteers for several different candidates.
Once again, students are out on the campaign trail in the 2003 elections.
Down in the Coal Mines
Everyone concedes that campaigning can be dissatisfying. Volunteers could “gain some understanding of the complexity of political process,” said James Davis, a political science professor at WU. “They could expand their network of friends and contacts. On the other hand, they may become gofers and not learn anything, besides drudgery.”
The usual fare for those involved in their first campaign includes “lit drop,” in which they go door-to-door, handing out brochures and asking residents to vote for their candidate; sticking yard signs into registered voters’ lawns; and lots of telemarketing-like phone calls. Sometimes, younger volunteers would be sent to graze at politicians’ wine-and-cheese meetings, largely just to bring down the stratospheric age median of those events.
In subsequent campaigns, they may assume more responsibilities. Mark Fraley, who for years has been volunteering for multiple left-wing causes, from ban on sweatshops to so-called “fair trade” coffee, now organizes other volunteers for Missouri Pro-Vote, a left-wing campaign group. Combest advises three Republican campaigns, and maintains a Web site devoted to state politics. And Jeff Smith, a WU graduate student, runs a local Democrat’s campaign, after having been Bill Bradley’s speechwriter. Smith also teaches politics at University College.
Even in their first campaigns, students can go beyond foot soldiers’ work, insists senior Ben Smilowitz. A former head of College Democrats who is organizing a youth cabinet for Governor Bob Holden this summer, Smilowitz believes that beginners should be more assertive. “They need to think about what kind of roles they want to have-and pursue them,” he said. “Campaigns involve people, and they don’t turn people away.”
What’s In It For You?
But even he admits that it’s not always like this. A lot of work, for example, is devoted to data entry-“they’re always getting more data on voters”-and working the phones. The question of how many students will be willing to do this “drudge work” hinges largely on their motives for campaigning. Here, observers are split.
Combest turns JFK’s famous sound bite on its head. “I think that most students get involved in politics for what it can do for them, and not what it can do for others,” he said. That does not bode well for this year’s campaigns, because most of the races will be local. “A lot of students don’t feel they have vested interest in local seats,” Combest said, because on the local level, there are “not as many opportunities that can advance their career.” Two exceptions might be Gephardt’s campaign, and Jim Talent’s bid to unseat Senator Jean Carnahan.
Loyal Opposition
One perennial college sentiment, however, could inspire a surge in student campaigning: opposition. On this predominantly left-of-center campus, WU liberals can sometimes stick it to the opponents. Often enough, conservative students feel besieged, even offended-and this might make them rise up and plant a few yard signs.
“If you are a conservative student at WU, you have to be willing to endure a certain amount of personal and ideological confrontation,” said Combest. He cites Dan McCarthy, a veritable conservative on campus, who co-founded the Washington Witness and was widely attacked for it. At the time Lauren Mandell, who was to become the editor in chief of Student Life a year later, called the Witness writers “well-funded extremists.”
But Combest, praising McCarthy’s stoicism, said that attacks could turn into something else – a baptism by fire. Because of the constant need to defend his position, Combest said, “I came out of WU more conservative, but also more open-minded than when I came in.”
Yet, as both Combest and McCarthy pointed out, ambitious young conservatives don’t have the same incentives as do liberals. Working on campaigns is not considered the best way to advance within the Republican Party. “There are certain people in conservative grassroots who don’t like the idea of professional politicians,” Combest said.
McCarthy suggested that for politically minded conservatives, the best path is to become a non-political professional and stand for nomination later. This is in sync with conservatives’ ideology: while liberals tend to see government as a force for good, conservatives tend to be wary of it. The spirit of rebellion, then, may not result in large turnout of conservative volunteers.
As for those who used to support third parties and independent candidates, many of them have moved to the center. A trickle of votes away from Gore to environmentalist and consumer rights advocate Ralph Nader in 2000 arguably cost Democrats the White House, and taught liberals to close ranks.
Fraley, who was once busily involved in environmentalist causes and stayed out of the College Democrats, now backs many mainstream liberal candidates. “A person should vote for whoever will have the best impact on the majority of the people,” he said.
He disagrees with a common argument on the fringes, that sacrificing a moderate candidate in the short run will bring radicals more influence in the long term. “I’m not in a position of low-income people who can’t afford for things to get worse in the short term,” he said.
They may grudgingly vote for moderate candidates, but radically minded students would be loath to spend their time campaigning for them. So it appears campaigns will have to work even harder at mobilizing the student vote, regardless of how tight or important their races.