Analysis: UAA playoff scenarios
One weekend will make the difference for three Washington University varsity sports teams as they finish up their University Athletic Association conference schedules. Here are some of the potential scenarios heading into the weekend.
(13-2-1, 5-0-1 UAA)
Best case: UAA champion if Wash. U. beats Chicago, Case defeats Rochester
Worst case: UAA Runner-up if Wash. U. loses to Chicago, Rochester defeats Case
The No. 8 women’s soccer team holds a one-point lead over the University of Rochester and defeated the Yellowjackets 2-1 in overtime on Oct. 18.
If Rochester beats Case Western Reserve University at 7:30 p.m. on Saturday night and the Bears do not defeat Chicago, the Yellowjackets will win the conference. The Bears must beat Chicago for the outright title as Rochester defeated Emory. Emory tied with Wash. U. on Oct. 17. Two ties are worse than a loss, according to senior co-captain Becca Heymann.
(25-3, 7-0 UAA)
Best case: UAA champion if Bears advance to championship match and win
Worst case: Place in the top four of UAA teams if they fail to make the championship match
The No. 3 Wash. U. volleyball team defeated every UAA team in round robin play, earning the top seed in this weekend’s UAA championships. No. 4 Emory University is the top seed in the other pool. The Bears swept Emory (25-19, 25-17, 25-18) on Oct. 17. Wash. U. takes on NYU, Rochester and Case in pool A. The champions of both pools play for the UAA championship.
The Bears also are the top-ranked team in the region and have a good chance of hosting at least one round of the NCAA tournament.
(9-6-3, 3-3 UAA)
Best case: If all teams lose above Wash. U. lose and the Bears win, Wash. U. will still be in fourth
Worst case: If Emory beats Carnegie Mellon and Wash. U. falls to Chicago, the Bears will be in fifth place in the UAA standings
The Bears are currently in fourth place in the UAA rankings and face Chicago (4-1-1 UAA). With losses to Carnegie Mellon and Rochester, which lead the conference with a 5-1 record, the Bears have no chance of winning UAAs. Carnegie Mellon plays Emory, while Rochester is up against Case Western Reserve.
In terms of gaining an NCAA bid, beating Chicago, the fourth-ranked team in the Central Region, would give the Bears a quality win in their favor.
The postseason fate of both soccer teams and volleyball will be announced on Nov. 9.